

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Club Brugge wins; above it, Lens wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 6 |
Club Brugge goals in rows, Lens goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge | 2 | 1.80 | 0.81 | 1.83 |
| Lens | 10 | 1.25 | 0.92 | 1.38 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.