

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Roma wins; above it, Slovan Bratislava wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 1 | |||||
| 1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||||
| 2 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||||
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Roma goals in rows, Slovan Bratislava goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma | 3 | 1.47 | 0.74 | 3.29 |
| Slovan Bratislava | — | 0.86 | 1.56 | 0.51 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.