Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, LOSC Lille wins; above it, Galatasaray wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 6 |
LOSC Lille goals in rows, Galatasaray goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOSC Lille | 2 | 1.17 | 0.85 | 2.02 |
| Galatasaray | 1 | 1.69 | 0.99 | 1.10 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
