

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Napoli wins; above it, Bodø / Glimt wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 6 |
Napoli goals in rows, Bodø / Glimt goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 8 | 1.32 | 0.82 | 1.95 |
| Bodø / Glimt | 2 | 1.75 | 0.82 | 0.97 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.