Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Inter wins; above it, Shakhtar Donetsk wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Inter goals in rows, Shakhtar Donetsk goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 1 | 1.98 | 0.89 | 2.96 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | — | 1.30 | 1.05 | 0.92 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
