Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, VfB Stuttgart wins; above it, Atlético de Madrid wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart goals in rows, Atlético de Madrid goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 11 | 1.40 | 1.11 | 1.76 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 2 | 1.46 | 0.82 | 1.59 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
