Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Como wins; above it, Manchester United wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Como goals in rows, Manchester United goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 7 | 1.38 | 0.82 | 1.38 |
| Manchester United | 13 | 1.24 | 1.11 | 1.15 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
