Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Liverpool wins; above it, Villarreal wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 1 |
Liverpool goals in rows, Villarreal goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 9 | 1.25 | 1.07 | 2.15 |
| Villarreal | 12 | 1.48 | 1.02 | 1.25 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
