Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, FC Bayern München wins; above it, Arsenal wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | ||||||
| 6 |
FC Bayern München goals in rows, Arsenal goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Bayern München | 3 | 2.23 | 0.88 | 1.57 |
| Arsenal | 2 | 1.34 | 0.69 | 1.29 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
