Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Paris Saint Germain wins; above it, FC Barcelona wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain goals in rows, FC Barcelona goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 1.78 | 0.82 | 1.86 |
| FC Barcelona | 1 | 2.11 | 0.78 | 1.92 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
